| 微信 : ozyoyodotcom 联系邮箱 : [email protected] 开启辅助访问 | 开启辅助访问 DIY
打印 上一主题 下一主题

[投资理财] 明天会降利息吗

[复制链接]

48

主题

624

帖子

1860

积分

上尉

Rank: 15Rank: 15Rank: 15Rank: 15Rank: 15Rank: 15

积分
1860

优秀版主版主

跳转到指定楼层
楼主
蓝色精灵 发表于 2014-3-3 10:55:57 转发到朋友圈 申请置顶 删帖
726 4

本内容为网友发布信息,仅代表原作者观点,不代表本平台立场。

THERE'S not going to be a rate cut on Tuesday and borrowers can blame another surge in mining investment.

All 13 economists surveyed by AAP said the Reserve Bank on Australia (RBA) would not reduce the cash rate at its March 5 board meeting, but nine of those expect a rate cut some time in the next six months.

On Wednesday, money markets were pricing in a 33 per cent chance of a March rate cut but by Friday that had fallen to a 17 per cent chance.

So what changed?

On Thursday, official figures showed businesses were planning to increase their investment spending this financial year and the next.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics said its fifth estimate of capital expenditure (capex) for this financial year was four per cent higher than for the previous financial year.

Those figures allayed concerns that the boom in mining investment was coming to an end, concerns sparked by large fall in commodity prices in 2012 that caused some of Australia's biggest mining to shelve some projects.

HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham said the capex figures showed there was a lot of investment in the pipeline that would stimulate the economy for months to come.

"Even the forward-looking capital expenditure survey, which some feared could deliver bad news, was generally positive overall," he said.

The RBA delivered four interest rate cuts in calendar year 2012, taking the cash rate to three per cent by December.

Mr Bloxham said the surge in business investment should give these rate cuts time to take effect on the economy.

"The continued rise in mining investment, as (the building of) large LNG (liquefied natural gas) projects continue, should support growth, which should give the RBA more time to see the impact on the non-mining sectors of the cuts it has already delivered," he said.

Commonwealth Bank chief economist Michael Blythe said the capex figures showed the peak in mining investment would be more of a plateau.

He said spending on the building of new mines and resource projects as a percentage of economic growth was expected to remain constant in the coming financial year.

"The latest capex data lowered market expectations of a near-term RBA rate cut," Mr Blythe said.

"More importantly, the rollover in mining capex that has worried the RBA looks quite muted.

"The data indicated that capex growth in 2012/13 will be lower than earlier estimates but initial readings on 2013/14 confirm that total capex is holding up."

St George economist Janu Chan said there won't be a cash rate cut in March but expects one in April.

"We think there's room for one more rate cut given that inflation's quite subdued, growth is expected to be below trend this year, and also the labour markets remain quite soft," she said.

"There is room for at least one more, but we don't think given recent commentary the RBA's not ready to cut rates as soon as next week.

"There is enough evidence to suggest that the RBA will want to wait and see given that there's perhaps just enough of an impact from earlier rate cuts to the economy."

OZYOYO提醒: 请避免提前支付订金、押金等任何费用,请与对方当面沟通,确认资质并看清条款。谨防上当受骗。

免责声明: 本网站所提供的信息,只供参考之用。本网站不保证信息的准确性、有效性、及时性和完整性。本网站及其雇员一概毋须以任何方式就任何信息传递或传送的失误、不准确或错误,对用户或任何其他人士负任何直接或间接责任。在法律允许的范围内,本网站在此声明,不承担用户或任何人士就使用或未能使用本网站所提供的信息或任何链接所引致的任何直接、间接、附带、从属、特殊、惩罚性或惩戒性的损害赔偿。

收藏收藏
沙发
catfelix 发表于 2014-3-3 11:36:43 转发到朋友圈 申请置顶 删帖
板凳
stfz 发表于 2014-3-3 19:22:29 转发到朋友圈 申请置顶 删帖
地板
 楼主| 蓝色精灵 发表于 2014-3-3 23:37:58 转发到朋友圈 申请置顶 删帖
楼上何意?
5
开心啊 发表于 2014-3-4 16:07:27 来自手机 转发到朋友圈 申请置顶 删帖
Upupup
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

发表新帖 搜索
〓 房产买卖平台 〓
〓 整租租房平台 〓
〓 生意买卖平台 〓

Copyright @ 2019 BrisbaneBBS.com. All rights reserved. User Agreement

分享本页

客服号

公众号